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War takes its toll but relief is in sight
Economic prospects for the U.S. and global markets remain closely tied to developments in the conflict.
Fed expected to hold rates as inflation concerns persist
With inflation elevated and economic growth steady, analysts expect the Federal Reserve to maintain rates and shift toward a tightening bias.
Something is still not right
Consumer confidence remains low despite 2% GDP growth and low unemployment, as inflation and income gaps strain lower-income households.
Resilience in uncertain times: the US economy holds
Trump’s Iran ceasefire signals uncertainty, but strong GDP trends, low unemployment and a resilient U.S. economy keep markets near record highs.
Volatility reigns as war clouds economic forecasts
Ongoing conflict drives volatility in oil, stocks and bonds, raising inflation and mortgage rates as economists warn uncertainty clouds the U.S. outlook.
AI-driven productivity fuels faster U.S. economic growth
Surging productivity driven by AI is boosting GDP growth, lowering inflation pressure and raising potential U.S. economic growth to 3.0%.
Federal Reserve cuts rates as Trump pressure mounts
The Federal Reserve cut rates by 0.25% in September and signaled more to come, with Trump’s pressure raising questions about politics driving Fed policy.
US unemployment rises to 4.3% as Fed eyes rate cuts
U.S. payrolls grew by 22,000 in August as unemployment rose to 4.3%. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 0.5% this year despite sticky inflation.
